Posted by
Crescen7(Regis Matejcik) on Thursday, January 31, 2008 1:38:20 PM
Perhaps there will yet be an epiphany within the Republican ranks and this post will become useless. We can still hope. Notwithstanding, one must assume at this point that Republicans are going to nominate John McCain to run for President.
It is this writers sincere belief that a President John McCain would be worse for the conservative movement and America in general, than a President Hillary Clinton, or President Barack Obama.
It is important to clarify, that the argument here is NOT, "They will screw things up so badly that we'll be able to win in 2012." That agument has been made by others, and makes little sense. It is never a preferred option to hope for problems just so that they can be assigned to others. The argument being presented here is that conservatives and Americans will actually be better off if John McCain loses - even if it is to Hillary or Barack.
Perhaps it is best to start with the McCain strong suit. Defense. War on Terror. Iraq. All different sides of the same coin. This is the McCain answer to all questions. "I put my career on the line for Iraq and the "surge", so I should be President. This has been the accepted and unchallenged conventional thinking throughout the campaign.
In truth, McCain began his criticism of Donald Rumsfeld and insufficient troop strength at the earliest politically available opportunity. McCain, found a way to maintain his pro-invasion position; and still politically attack President Bush. In 2004, when public opinion on the war began to sour, and Democrats saw a vulnerablity in George Bush's position, they began attacking him. McCain piled on. A different attack, but an attack none the less. Most of McCains early anti Bush/Rumsfeld criticism alluded to the need for a 400,000 troop invasion force as described by General Shinseki. Almost always his answer to troubles in Iraq was "More boots on the ground."
The "More Boots" argument is hardly a strategy. It is all too remindful to this writer, of the most common complaint about construction progress. If a project is not progressing to a clients satisfaction the most commonly heard comment is "you need more people on site." Again, this is not strategy. To further the construction / war analogy - both are advanced by working on specific tasks that allow the attainment of specific milestones which then allow for other tasks to begin. It may, for instance, require 30 masons to adequately man a particular project; but until enough foundation and structure are in place; no increase in the amount of masons will advance the project. When confronting such arguments, it is impossible to win by simply conceding - ok we'll put more people here. The only useful information to be gained from such commentary as needing "More Boots" or "More People" is that the client isn't satisfied with the progress. Accordingly, McCains only real commentary was that he wasn't satisfied with the progress of the war in Iraq. No more useful than the Democrats criticism.
In truth, it was General Patreus who convinced George Bush that he had a specific counter insurgency plan that would work in Iraq, and that plan called for an additional 30,000 troops. To either Bush's credit or detriment - this was clearly the answer for which he was looking; and in choosing Patreus he was choosing to continue, rather than fold in Iraq. It was during this time that Bush was under huge congressional and public pressure to abandon Iraq. He needed a congressional supporter very badly. It was George Bush that recognized McCain, as a constant complainer about inadequate troop strength, could be tapped as a possible supporter. To a great degree, it was George Bush who put McCain on the spot and politically manuvered the issue to the extent that McCain had no reasonable position to take other than support. This is why McCain keeps saying, "I bet my politcal future on the surge." He did. Not because he wanted to.
McCain became a supporter of "the surge" because George Bush framed the issue so that he'd have no choice.
On other security related issues, it's difficult to find McCain's entrenched anti-Bush rhetoric to be reassuring. John McCain introduced "anti - torture" legislation. This was nothing but a slap in the face of the current administration. By it's very introduction, the bill signaled to the world the the U.S. routinely tortured people once captured. This discussion devolved into a rediculous argument about "water boarding" Al Queda members. McCain sides strongly with the Democrats, that harsh interrogation techniques should be outlawed.
McCain has been an outspoken opponent of the Guantanamo Bay prisoner camp. His reasoning is that "we will look better in the eyes of the world." This is circular logic. If one relentlessly disparages any particular policy it becomes increasingly possible that it will decline in world opinon. To then offer the best reason for the action to be taken is to bolster world opinion is reasonable to only the most dim witted.
While McCain has remained faithful to his "surge support", he's been quite suspect in his support of intelligence gathering. In truth, our best defense against future attacks comes from our ability to gather intelligence. One must consider McCains position in these matters before one proclaims him to be the candidate best suited to fight the war on terror.
It is most likely, should John McCain be elected President, that he will deal with Democrat majorities in both the House and Senate. John McCain has made a career of "walking across the isle" to support Democrat causes. We could expect that he will at least sign, if not advocate for, legislation supporting carbon taxes, illegal alien amnesty, and higher taxes. It is also reasonable to expect that a Democrat Congress will pass a new version of "The Fairness Doctrine." After years of fighting against talk radio, it is difficult to be confident that John McCain would veto "The Fairness Doctrine." This is especially true if the Fairness Doctrine is introduced by way of an extension of the McCain/Feingold campaign finance reform.
Judges? Perhaps abortion is safe. But rest assured John McCain will not appoint anyone he believes would overturn his signiture issue - Campaign Finance. Could any judge supporting such a clear infringement on political speech be a true "constructionist?"
By contrast if liberal legislation is advocated by Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, it could be loudly and strongly opposed by a unified Congressional Republican opposition.
With a Democrat President, Republicans can be full throated in their opposition, and they can apply pressure to conservative and centerist Democrats to break ranks. Many forget that the original HIllary Care bill was thwarted by a minority Republican Congress. Many believe, that it was this political victory that provided the impetus for what became the Republican Revolution of 1994. Arguably, the finest moments of coherent conservative philosophy came about as a reasoned response to the excesses of the established liberal status quo.
A Democrat President, advocating an extreme liberal agenda, could provide fertile ground to refine and promote the policies of principled conservatism.
Looking ahead a breif two years. If political history tells us anything, the party losing the White House will be at a disadvantage in the off year election. A Democrat victory would provide an opportunity to make Congressional gains in both the House and Senate. When issues of political controversy arose, the Republican standard bearers would no longer be either relics of the past or unknowns. Their names will be Romney, Huckabee, Hunter, Tancredo and Thompson; all taking the opportunity to increase their "brand" identity and develop their political voice.
Conversely, with a McCain Presidency; we could anticipate further Congressional losses in 2010.
True conservatives would become marginalized in the new administration and the voices of opposition to liberal policy (the same Romney, Huckabee, Hunter et al) will have been roundly seen as already out of step with even Republicans. We then face the prospect of even less enthusiasm going into the mid-term election, thereby almost guaranteeing the traditional loss of seats by the party in power.
Even more depressing is the thought of having trying to rally around a 76 year old left leaning President who not only presided over, but participated in, the dessimation of the conservative base in the Republican Party.
In summary. We need bad news fast. A Democrat President victory will mark the bottom of the Republican downward slide, and offer us the opportunity to rebound with strong conservative values. A McCain victory will guarantee an onslaught of left leaning policy, as well as the continued decline of conservatism in the Republican party. The downward spiral will continue for the next four years - at least.
If McCain is nominated, the only prudent action of a principled conservative - is to vote Democrat.
Update - 8/31/08
Based on the continued exposure of Barak Obama as an extreme and potentially dangerous threat to our individual liberties, and economic liberties - this above position must be reconsidered. Additionally in light of Senator McCain's brilliant selection of Sarah Palin as VP, it is obvious that all conservatives, yea, all Americans that cherish liberty and indivdual freedom - must unite to stop the dangerous policies of Barak Obama.